HPSI Decreases to 80.8 from 83.2: Economy Continues to Drag Housing Upward Despite Lackluster Consumer Financial Sentiment
The HPSI decreased 2.4 points to 80.8 in November, with more Americans reporting lower income prospects. The challenge of housing affordability coupled with tight supply may be preventing overall housing sentiment from gaining momentum as income growth isn’t keeping pace with the cost of housing. Consumers’ net attitudes about the direction of their household income relative to a year ago fell 5 points during the month, setting this HPSI component back to just below its March 2015 level. The HPSI Good Time to Sell component fell 6 points on net this month while Good Time to Buy was the only component to improve, increasing 1 point on net.
“The latest reading of the Home Purchase Sentiment Index remains near the survey’s high witnessed in June, exemplifying the theme we laid out at the beginning of the year: the economy drags housing upward,” said Doug Duncan, senior vice president and chief economist at Fannie Mae. “While aggregate income growth has gradually picked up with a continually improving labor market, consumers’ assessment of their income over the past year has not yet shown sustained improvement, partially weighing on overall sentiment. This year’s housing market is poised to be the best since 2007; however, consumers’ ability and willingness to purchase a home is likely to remain an issue in many regions going forward until we see consumer confidence in their income growth consistently gain traction.”
On this webpage you will find a news release with highlights from the HPSI and NHS results and the latest Data Release highlighting the consumer attitudinal indicators, month-over-month key indicator data, an overview and white paper about the HPSI, technical notes providing in-depth information about the NHS methodology, the questionnaire used for the survey, and a comparative assessment of Fannie Mae’s National Housing Survey and other consumer surveys.
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