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July 16, 1998
Perceived Barriers to Homeownership at All-Time Low; Renters Desire to Own a Home Stronger Than at Any Time in the 1990s; 7-in-10 Baby Boomers are Either Empty Nesters or Soon Will Be, Holding Profound Implications for Mortgage Finance, Home Remodeling, and Real Estate Industries, According to the 1998 Fannie Mae National Housing Survey
WASHINGTON -- Every single previously cited barrier to homeownership -- from not having enough money for a down payment, to not having sufficient information about how to buy a home, to the confidence one has in his job, to discrimination or social barriers -- has collapsed to the lowest levels recorded in the seven years Fannie Mae has sponsored its authoritative annual National Housing Survey. Even as record levels of homeownership continue in the late 1990s, 6-in-10 renters say that buying a home ranks between being a very important priority and their number-one priority in life, an all-time high. Additionally, the aging of the Baby Boom generation, and their ongoing transition from being parents with children at home to so-called empty nesters, will have profound effects on the real estate finance and home remodeling industries, according to the 1998 Fannie Mae National Housing Survey, released today.
"It's clear from the 1998 Fannie Mae National Housing Survey that low interest rates and a strong economy are making Americans more confident that homeownership is within reach for them, and less likely to believe that obstacles stand in their way. Moreover, the desire for homeownership is stronger today than ever before, one more positive indication that it will be possible to continue to raise the homeownership rate even beyond its current record level," said James A. Johnson, chairman and CEO of Fannie Mae.
It has been widely predicted that 1998 will be a record-breaking year for mortgage organizations, with an expected $1.2 trillion in mortgages financed. These predictions are strongly reinforced by the 60% of all renters who say that buying a home ranks from being a "very important priority" to their "number-one priority," the highest level found in any of the seven Fannie Mae National Housing Surveys fielded annually since 1992.
The Fannie Mae National Housing Survey, which probes American attitudes about housing and homeownership, has been undertaken each year since 1992 by the survey research firms of Peter D. Hart and Robert Teeter. For Fannie Mae's 1998 survey, Hart and Teeter interviewed 2006 respondents, from all regions of the country, between May 29 and June 3, 1998. Additionally, they oversampled adults in the age cohorts of 40 to 54, and 25 to 39, to gain insights into attitudes held by both so-called Baby Boomers and Generation Xers. For comparative purposes, they were also able to draw on the previously released Fannie Mae Foundation Survey of African Americans and Hispanics (April 21, 1998). The margin of error is +/- 3%.
Although public euphoria about this being a good time to buy a home has not returned to the level found when interest rates dropped significantly in the early part of the decade, confidence levels about one's ability to buy a home are near an all-time high. In 1998, 65% of American adults say this is a "somewhat to very good time to buy a home," down from the highs of 1993 and 1994, when respectively 72% and 76% said so. Yet 58% of renters say they are "somewhat confident or totally confident" that if they were to apply for a mortgage today, they would qualify, an increase over the 52% who answered similarly when this question was last asked, in 1996. This high level of confidence is reinforced by the profound decline in barriers to homeownership, as tracked by Fannie Mae's National Housing Survey.
- While "not having enough money for a down payment or closing costs" is still the greatest perceived obstacle to homeownership, only 29% of all adults cite it as a "major obstacle" in 1998, compared to 51% in 1992, and a high of 52% in 1996.
- Twenty-six percent of adults cited "being able to find a home you like that you can afford" as a "major obstacle," which is far fewer than the peak year of 1996, when 49% said so.
- The percentage of adults who cite "not having enough confidence in the security of your job" as a "major obstacle" has fallen from a high of 48% in 1996 to just 13% today -- a nearly 70% decline.
- Only 13% of adults cite information barriers such as "not knowing how to get started buying a home" as a "major obstacle," down from a 1996 high of 32%.
- The percentage who perceive having a "good enough credit rating to get a mortgage" as a "major obstacle" to homeownership has declined from a high of 38% in 1996 to just 16% today.
- Finally, the perception that "discrimination or social barriers" presents a "major obstacle" to homeownership has declined from a high of 18% among all adults in 1996 to just 6% today. (This matches findings from the Fannie Mae Foundation's survey of African American and Hispanic Attitudes on Homeownership, publicly released in April, which found that among blacks, the perception that they suffered from discrimination in mortgage lending "all or most of the time," had declined from 59% in 1993, to 40% in 1998; among Hispanics, the number declined from 40% in 1993, to 28% in 1998. While still quite high, the progress indicated in these findings is significant).
One clear factor in the optimism felt by many is confidence in the U.S. economy. More than half (51%) of all adults expect "their family's financial situation will be somewhat to much better" one year from now, which is fully ten percentage points better than the previously most optimistic response, in 1994 when 41% said so.
Boomers, Gen-Xers On Retirement and How They Will Live
As in previous years, pollsters Hart and Teeter oversampled segments of the population to discern attitudes found within specific cohorts. In 1994, the Fannie Mae National Housing Survey concentrated on renters, and in 1995, on immigrants to the United States. This year's survey oversampled members of the so-called Baby Boom generation and the one that came immediately afterward, Generation X. Highlights of the findings about their attitudes and plans for homeownership, utilization of equity in their homes, and ways in which they intend to live include the following:
More than 7-in-10 adults age 40 to 54 say they are currently "empty nesters" (28%) -- that is, adults with children who have moved out -- or will be some time in the next ten years (44%). This compares to 8% of Generation Xers who currently are empty nesters, with only 21% stating they will be so within the next ten years. Because 72% of Baby Boomers either are now or soon will be empty nesters, there are significant implications for the real estate finance and home remodeling industries, and particularly for those in the mortgage industry who offer reverse mortgages to seniors.
Which one of the following best describes your plans for when you become an empty nester--will you remain in the house as it is now, remain in the house but make major renovations to reconfigure the house, sell the house and buy a new house, or sell the house and rent?
| |
All Adults |
25-39 |
40-54 |
|
Remain in house as it is now
|
39
|
40
|
38
|
|
Remain but reconfigure house
|
14
|
15
|
15
|
|
Remain but reconfigure house
|
14
|
15
|
15
|
|
Sell and buy new house
|
27
|
25
|
30
|
|
Sell and rent house
|
4
|
4
|
5
|
|
Other
|
5
|
4
|
4
|
|
Do Not Own Home
|
4
|
4
|
4
|
|
Not Sure
|
7
|
8
|
4
|
Slightly fewer than 1-in-3 Baby Boomers who will become empty nesters in the next decade (30%) say they will sell their current home and buy a new one, with an additional 15% intending on remodeling their home to suit their changed living arrangements. Just under 4-in-10 (38%) say they will live in their current homes, without making changes to it. Among those who will purchase a new home, 38% say they will purchase a home of comparable value, while 29% say they will buy a more expensive home, and 32% say they will purchase a home that costs less than their current home. With the Baby Boom generation so large, both aspects that portend change -- the percentage who intend on renovating their homes, and the percentage who will sell and buy new homes -- will create significant business opportunities for the real estate professionals, mortgage lenders, and homebuilders and remodelers who will cater to their needs.
Additionally, with a majority of Baby Boomers (53%) who are either current or future empty nesters indicating they will stay in their homes, either as is or with renovations, there are implications for lenders who offer reverse mortgages. Forty-five percent of Baby Boomers found reverse mortgages either "somewhat or very appealing." Among members of Generation X, 52% found it "somewhat to very appealing." These findings portend significant growth for reverse mortgage lending in the decades ahead.
In recent years, lenders have begun offering something called a reverse mortgage. With a reverse mortgage, a person age sixty or older who has paid off their mortgage is eligible to borrow money based on the value of their home. The loan is made in monthly payments to the person -- like a trust or annuity -- and can be used to pay medical bills, make improvements to the home, or for any other purposes. The homeowner is guaranteed by the lender to never repay the loan as long as they are living in the home. The loan is repaid to the lender after the homeowner has died and the home is sold.
How appealing do you find this type of loan, for your parents or for yourself, when you reach age sixty -- very appealing, somewhat appealing, not very appealing, not at all appealing, or would a reverse mortgage not apply to your situation?
| |
All
Adults
|
25-39
|
40-54
|
|
Very appealing
|
14
|
16
|
12
|
|
Somewhat appealing
|
30
|
36
|
33
|
|
Not
very appealing
|
12
|
15
|
11
|
|
Not at all appealing
|
31
|
21
|
33
|
|
Does not apply
|
10
|
9
|
8
|
|
Not sure
|
3
|
3
|
3
|
While Baby Boomers and Generation Xers respond to the concept of the reverse mortgage, home equity does not at this time seem to be a large factor in other aspects of their retirement planning. Slightly more than one-in-four members of the Baby Boom generation say that the equity they have in their home will comprise part of their retirement finances, with only 8% saying it will be a "major part of their retirement finances." For Generation Xers, 27% say their home equity will play some role in retirement, but only 6% say it will play a major role.
One-in-four Baby Boomers (25%) currently have a home equity loan, slightly more than the 19% of Generation Xers who do. Both groups predominantly see home equity loans as vehicles for home renovation (Boomers 42%; Xers 41%), and to pay off debts (Boomers 34%; Xers 26%).
What was the reason you took a home equity loan?
| |
All
Adults
|
25-39
|
40-54
|
|
Pay
for
improvements/
renovations
to
home
|
40
|
41
|
42
|
|
Pay off other debts
|
26
|
26
|
34
|
|
Use to buy another home
|
8
|
7
|
4
|
|
Used to make other major purchases
|
7
|
4
|
7
|
|
Pay
for
education
expenses
|
4
|
1
|
5
|
|
Used
to
make
investments/savings
|
4
|
6
|
2
|
|
Used
the
money
for
retirement/living
expenses
|
3
|
2
|
2
|
|
Refused/not
sure
|
9
|
11
|
7
|
|
All
other
answers
|
4
|
3
|
4
|
Other major findings of the 1998 Fannie Mae National Housing Survey include:
- While more Americans today have access to the Internet than in 1996, there has been no increase in the percentage who say they would likely finance a mortgage online. Thirty-six percent of adults in 1996 said they had Internet access, either at home or at work, but today that number has jumped to 52%. Yet, while 20% of adults two years ago said they would "probably or definitely try" originating a loan online, only 15% say so today. Interestingly, there is virtually no difference in the percentage of Baby Boomers and Generation Xers who would try to originate a mortgage loan online.
Suppose you were applying for a mortgage, either to buy a home or to refinance your current home. How likely would you be to try a service that allowed you to handle all the paperwork involved in applying for a mortgage over an on-line computer service or the Internet -- would you definitely try it, probably try it, might consider it, or would you probably not try it?
| |
All Adults
|
25-39
|
40-54
|
|
Definitely try it
|
5
|
6
|
7
|
|
Probably
try
it
|
10
|
11
|
10
|
|
Might
consider
it
|
28
|
35
|
31
|
|
Probably
not
try
it
|
40
|
35
|
38
|
|
Definitely
not
try
it
|
15
|
12
|
12
|
|
Not
sure
|
2
|
1
|
2
|
-
To discern how strong is the appeal of the so-called subprime market, respondents were asked whether it is better for a family with a poor credit history to buy a home now with a higher interest rate, or wait until such time as they have cleaned up their credit and might qualify for a lower-rate conventional mortgage. Fifty-eight percent of whites believe it is better for the family to wait, and only 30% say they should buy the home now. Interestingly, this same question was asked earlier this year in the Fannie Mae Foundation's Survey of African American and Hispanic Attitudes on homeownership. At that time, 71% of African Americans and 83% of Hispanics believed the family should wait.
If a family with a poor credit history were looking to buy a home, many lenders could offer them a mortgage with a more expensive interest rate than they would give a family with good credit. Do you think it would be better for this family to wait and try to clean up its credit rating before buying a home so that they can try to get a cheaper mortgage, which will help them save money in the long run; or do you think it would be better for them to buy a home now with the more expensive mortgage because they are better off owning a home while they try to improve their financial situation so that they don't waste any more money on rent?
| |
All Adults
|
25-39
|
40-54
|
|
Clean up credit and wait for cheaper mortgage
|
59
|
55
|
60
|
|
Buy a home now with more expensive mortgage
|
29
|
34
|
30
|
|
Depends
|
6
|
6
|
7
|
|
Not
sure
|
6
|
5
|
3
|
A plurality of Americans prefer to have a mortgage with higher payments and a shorter term to one with lower payments and a longer term.
When you think about a home mortgage -- given your household financial goals and obligations right now -- are you more interested in finding the mortgage that offers the lowest possible monthly payment, even if it means paying it off over a longer period of time, or are you more interested in finding the mortgage that you can pay off the quickest, even if it means higher monthly payments?
|
Lowest monthly payment/longer term
|
39
|
|
High
monthly
payment/shortest
term
|
45
|
|
Does
not
apply
|
8
|
|
Depends
|
5
|
|
Not
sure
|
3
|
Similarly, a majority of Americans would prefer to pay off their mortgage as quickly as possible, rather than prolong their mortgage payments by using tax-advantaged home equity loans for any other purpose
Thinking about the role of a home mortgage in your current household financial situation, which one of the following two statements comes closer to how you think about a home mortgage.
Statement A: I am interested in paying off a mortgage as quickly as possible in order to build equity in my home and minimize the amount I pay in interest on my debt, or
Statement B: I prefer to take advantage of the low interest rate and tax deductions on a mortgage to use the equity I have paid into my home to finance other investments, such as stocks or bonds, education expenses, or other things, and I will pay my mortgage off more slowly.
|
Statement A/pay mortgage off more quickly
|
52
|
|
Statement B/pay mortgage off more slowly
|
37
|
|
Some of both
|
2
|
|
Depends
|
3
|
|
Not sure
|
6
|
One reason why so few Americans state they have an interest in using the equity in their home is the very clear sense that a home represents security, and is not a liquid asset. When given a choice between whether a home should be viewed as "a piece of equity to be used to finance other parts of your life and is part of your net worth," or "a home is the bedrock of your financial security and you should only be concerned about paying off the mortgage and not using the equity for any other purposes," 55% agreed with the second statement and only 33% with the first.
Seventy-nine percent of respondents believe that the "ideal age for a person to pay off his or her mortgage" is before the person is age 60.
After two distinct refinance booms in the 1990s, more Americans have fixed-rate mortgages today than at any time in the past five years. Today, 56% of adults who own homes have a fixed-rate mortgage, and only 9% have adjustable rate mortgages (ARM), with 32% reporting they have no mortgage. Just three years ago, only 46% said they had a fixed-rate mortgage, while 11% had an ARM, and 36% had a paid off mortgage. The lower percentage of those with paid off mortgages today also reflect the increase in the homeownership rate, as more first-time home buyers have been created.
Thirty-seven percent of homeowners say they have previously refinanced their current mortgage. Additionally, 16% say it is "somewhat to very likely" they will refinance their mortgage this year.
The 1998 Fannie Mae National Housing Survey has a margin of error for overall responses of less than 3%. Those interested in a complete survey report should call (202) 752-7111 or 1-888-FAN-NOW4 (1-888-326-6694).
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